Frequently asked questions

No. OddsLens runs a deterministic statistical model — the same calculation every time, on real form data, with no AI generating picks. You can see every number it used: win rates, loss rates, venue splits, opponent strength. If the model is wrong, you can see why. That transparency is the point.

It calculates a probability for each outcome using recent form data, then compares that to the implied probability baked into the Betfair Exchange price. If the model thinks the outcome is more likely than the price suggests, there's a positive edge. Only positive-edge bets surface. No edge, no signal.

Last 10 and last 5 match results for each team — wins, draws, losses, goals scored, goals conceded, home and away splits. Recent matches are weighted more heavily than older ones. Team news is pulled automatically where available. The model looks at different things for different markets: BTTS cares about whether teams score and concede, Match Odds cares about win rate and venue, Over/Under cares about average goals per game.

The default set covers the major European leagues — Premier League, Championship, La Liga, Bundesliga, Serie A, Ligue 1, Eredivisie, and more. You can customise your league selection in account settings. There's a cap of 60 competitions to keep the signal-to-noise ratio high.

Not automatically. It's rules-based, not machine learning. The upside of that is it doesn't overfit to recent history and the output is always explainable. The downside is it doesn't self-correct. We review the model periodically and update the logic when we find systematic issues.

Value betting is placing bets where the probability of an outcome is higher than what the market price implies. If the market prices a team at 2.50 (implying a 40% chance of winning) but the data suggests they win 55% of the time in similar conditions, that's a +15 point edge. Over a large enough sample, positive edges turn into profit. For the full explanation, see our value betting guide.

No. And anyone promising otherwise is selling something you shouldn't buy. Value betting has variance built in — losing runs are normal and expected even when every decision is correct. The edge plays out over hundreds of bets, not dozens. If you need short-term certainty, value betting isn't the right approach.

A tipster tells you what to back and takes a subscription fee regardless of whether you profit. OddsLens shows you where the model finds an edge and lets you decide. You can see the numbers, question the signal, and skip anything you don't agree with. We don't have a stake in you placing every bet — we have a stake in the model being right.

OddsLens rates each opportunity by the size of the edge. Strong Value is 10+ percentage points above implied probability. Value is 4–10 points. Fair is close to zero. Poor Price and Avoid are negative edge — the market has priced it better than the model. The tier system lets you filter by your own risk appetite.

Two reasons: to pull live market prices from the Exchange, and to place bets on your behalf when you choose to. OddsLens connects using Betfair's official OAuth API — the same mechanism Betfair provides to all approved third-party apps. Your credentials are never stored by OddsLens.

Yes. OddsLens is a registered and approved Betfair application. It operates under Betfair's vendor programme and appears in the Betfair app directory. The approval process includes a review of the integration, security, and responsible gambling compliance.

No. The Betfair API permissions OddsLens uses cover placing bets and reading account data only. OddsLens cannot withdraw funds, transfer money, or change your account settings. Every bet placed through OddsLens requires your explicit confirmation first.

Betfair OAuth tokens have a limited lifespan. When yours expires, the dashboard will show a reconnect prompt. It takes about 30 seconds to reauthorise. You can also refresh the connection manually from the dashboard at any time.

The free tier gives you full access to the statistical analysis — model probability, edge score, value rating, team form, team news — on one opportunity per day. Bet placement is a paid feature. It's enough to see whether the product works before committing to a subscription.

Yes. Monthly subscribers can cancel before their next billing date and lose nothing. Quarterly and annual plans are non-refundable but you keep access until the end of the period. No dark patterns, no cancellation call required.

Current pricing is introductory. We'll give paid subscribers at least 30 days notice before any increase, and anyone on an active subscription will have the option to lock in their current rate for another year before the change takes effect.

No. OddsLens doesn't sell data or share it with third parties. Betfair receives the bet placement requests you initiate — that's inherent to how the integration works. Your email and account details stay with OddsLens and Supabase, our database provider.

About two minutes. Create an account, connect your Betfair account via the OAuth prompt, pick a risk tier, and the dashboard populates with today's opportunities. The model runs automatically — there's nothing to configure.

You need to understand that losing is part of the process. Beyond that, the interface explains what each signal means as you go. The value betting explainer is a good starting point if you want the theory before you dive in.

That's your decision, and it depends on your bankroll and risk tolerance. OddsLens lets you set a default stake that applies across all opportunities. A common approach for value betting is flat staking — the same amount per bet regardless of the odds — which keeps variance manageable while the edge builds up over time.